Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Oct 2026, 16:52 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

IncomeSharks

@IncomeSharks

In reply to · 15 Oct 2026, 15:08 UTC · context given to the AI

$MRNA FULL PORT UPDATE WHAT THE FUCK https://t.co/Q3PimUfl5S

@ShaneStoffer Nice one. Now cash out before theta gets you and roll into $LMT options and 2x it to a million.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $LMT price at or after publication, $0.00003723 at 15 Oct 2026, 16:52 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.00003616 at 16 Oct 2026, 16:52 UTC.
r = 0.00003615880569680653 / 0.00003723445349117447 − 1 = -2.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $LMT ($LMT)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Now cash out before theta gets you and roll into $LMT options and 2x it to a million.”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3