Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,023 at 15 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,334 at 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 81334.01 / 82022.55 − 1 = -0.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology