Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Oct 2026, 16:33 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Killa

@KillaXBT

In reply to · 15 Oct 2026, 16:27 UTC · context given to the AI

Rate hikes. Global bond yields going vertical. DXY printing new highs. Ledger wallet hacks. And yet $BTC is still holding above 80K.

Seems to me they are using every excuse in the book to justify why BTC should go lower. This is exactly the type of shit you see in a bull market before continuation.

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,023 at 15 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,334 at 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 81334.01 / 82022.55 − 1 = -0.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Seems to me they are using every excuse in the book to justify why BTC should go lower.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction