Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,438 at 15 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,428 at 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 2427.64 / 2438.12 − 1 = -0.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology