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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Oct 2026, 09:02 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is now at its $2,350 support zone. I think this'll eventually break, and Ethereum will retest the $2,200 zone before reversal. https://t.co/xlsNXwf4ew

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,373 at 15 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,448 at 16 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2447.54 / 2372.5 − 1 = +3.2%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH is now at its $2,350 support zone.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

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