Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,274 at 15 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,139 at 16 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 82139.33 / 81274.14 − 1 = +1.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology