Prediction evidence

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Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC is holding. $ETH is starting to look vulnerable. And that difference matters. Let me do a technical deepdive to give you more insights. Bitcoin is moving sideways around $80,980. RSI is at 44.6 and price is trading below the 20MA and EMA20, with the 50MA just above. The lower Bollinger Band is giving a mild oversold signal, but there’s no real sign of panic: MVRV is at 1.54, SOPR is exactly 1.00, and funding is basically neutral. One thing that stands out: whales are more cautious than retail. As long as Bitcoin holds above $75K, the broader structure remains relatively intact. Above $83.5K would be the key breakout zone. Ethereum looks weaker. Price is around $2,361, RSI is at 34.1, and Ethereum is roughly 9% below the 20MA. The $2,318 swing low is currently the thin floor. Fundamentally, Ethereum looks cheap: MVRV is only 1.09. But the market structure remains weak. The long/short ratio is 2.58 while whale delta is negative. Retail is heavily positioned long while whales appear less convinced, increasing the risk of a downside squeeze. Bottom line: Bitcoin looks neutral and is waiting for confirmation of the range. Ethereum looks fundamentally cheap, but technically more vulnerable.