Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,493 at 15 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,058 at 16 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC.
3. r = 82057.76 / 81492.72 − 1 = +0.7%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology