Published 15 Oct 2026, 02:25 UTC · fetched 15 Oct 2026, 05:04 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 14 Oct 2026, 19:04 UTC · context given to the AI
#Bitcoin / $BTC So when should you consider going more risk on? Historically the answer would be shortly after US midterm elections, which marked the bear market lows in each of the previous cycles. Not saying the market sells off aggressively immediately after printing new lows this time like it did the others, but I think it's a decent bet we'll see a lot of volatility leading up to and shortly after November 3rd. e.g. as bullish as I am here, why I don't think being in levered long positions makes sense... it makes a hell of a lot more sense to sit in spot positions you have a solid thesis for that you can keep stacking regardless of what the market does. We're still early enough int he bull market that whether we send immediately or if we wait a couple of months to start sending, you should print multiples fairly easily soon enough by just stacking and being patient. And if we somehow get any sort of a dip - being liquid enough to stack your highest conviction names = a truly generational entry. So don't gamble and risk sidelining yourself if your thesis is right - but your timing isn't. Patient bulls will continue to win.Best hedge (in my opinion) for the market taking one last leg down is a 10X short on $STRC on HyperLiquid as long as funding is positive and the price is anywhere in the $99 range for an entry. As long as the peg remains near $100 and the market is bullish, you'll actually most likely print a higher APY than just holding STRC... Odds of getting liquidated are practically zero due to Strategy printing more STRC anytime it hits $100. And if the market does happen to crash and STRC depegs again, you get all of the upside of that move. So you basically get a free hedge for extreme downside volatility vs. trying to short Bitcoin and dealing with potential losses if the market rips higher. You're welcome.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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