Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.06407 at 14 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.06381 at 15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.06380626729441247 / 0.06406551052789564 − 1 = -0.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology