Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.0665 at 14 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.05881 at 15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.058805223013686674 / 0.0664992874142856 − 1 = -11.57%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -11.57% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology