Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 14 Oct 2026, 08:56 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is still hovering around the $2,500 level. For strong momentum, Ethereum needs a weekly close above $2,550. As long as ETH stays below it, there's a decent chance of a liquidity sweep below $2,400. https://t.co/RrSmE74sdD

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,503 at 14 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,371 at 15 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 2371.09 / 2502.87 − 1 = -5.3%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH is still hovering around the $2,500 level.”
Confidence: 86%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction