Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,344 at 14 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,556 at 15 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 81556.3 / 83343.68 − 1 = -2.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology