Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,514 at 13 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,427 at 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 2427.24 / 2513.75 − 1 = -3.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology