Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,262 at 13 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,651 at 14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 82651.43 / 83262 − 1 = -0.7%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology