Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,531 at 13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,159 at 14 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 83158.56 / 83531.45 − 1 = -0.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology