Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,759 at 13 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $81,460 at 20 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 81459.82 / 83758.94 − 1 = -2.7%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology