Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,630 at 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,338 at 13 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 83337.53 / 82630.21 − 1 = +0.86%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.86% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology