Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,491 at 12 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,432 at 13 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 83432.08 / 82491.18 − 1 = +1.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology