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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 12 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

₿IRB

@crypto_birb

Took a look at current bitcoin situation. Found these: 1. RSI below 50-day momentum (curving down) 2. ATR below 50-day volatility 3. Rising 200-day trends support @ $72k-$75k. 4. Key 1D support held @ $82k Conclusion: Big bull catching a breath after first sprint. https://t.co/1UV0SvNPX4

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,677 at 12 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,262 at 13 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 83262 / 82676.91 − 1 = +0.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Took a look at current bitcoin situation.”
Confidence: 85%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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