Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,550 at 12 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,515 at 13 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 2515.2 / 2549.68 − 1 = -1.35%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.35% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology