Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,539 at 12 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,462 at 13 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 2461.6 / 2539.39 − 1 = -3.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology