Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,816 at 11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,407 at 12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 82406.83 / 83816.37 − 1 = -1.7%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology