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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

The last time this weekly signal started a bull run $BTC went from $20K to $126K. It just flipped again. Buy the dip... https://t.co/1rPkFIaW1O

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,957 at 11 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,415 at 12 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 83415 / 82956.58 − 1 = +0.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The last time this weekly signal started a bull run $BTC went from $20K to $126K.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3