Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,801 at 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $81,458 at 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 81458.12 / 82800.69 − 1 = -1.6%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology