Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,504 at 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,495 at 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 2494.9 / 2503.84 − 1 = -0.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology