Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,961 at 8 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,807 at 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 82807.48 / 80961.43 − 1 = +2.28%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.28% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology