Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 Oct 2026, 08:37 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 8 Oct 2026, 08:31 UTC · context given to the AI

Day 570 of posting the Solana logo until Solana hits $300 https://t.co/S8rZr4qdc3

@Jeremybtc $SOL just warming up bro

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $114.83 at 8 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $110.52 at 9 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 110.52 / 114.83 − 1 = -3.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time