Prediction evidence

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Sminston With 👁

@sminston_with

Here's about how long you'll be "still early" in Bitcoin. - - - In just the last 4 years: Bitcoin beat the S&P 500 by ~22% a year AND gold by ~19% 📈 LOOKING AHEAD: On its power-law trend, that gap doesn't close until ~2070 (stocks) and ~2081 (gold). Volatility's less certain. ~2040 if it decays exponentially, 2100+ on a power law. It hasn't shown a clean trend, but if you measure from the tops or a handful of other methods, the evidence supports exponential decay more, IMO. Either way, the extra return from Bitcoin runs should run for at least the next 45-55 years You're still early, for now 🕓