Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,550 at 7 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,416 at 8 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 2416.04 / 2549.74 − 1 = -5.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology