Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,345 at 7 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,886 at 8 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 80886.4 / 83345.01 − 1 = -2.9%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology