Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,142 at 7 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,114 at 8 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 82114.1 / 83141.79 − 1 = -1.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology