Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,784 at 7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,060 at 8 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 83059.87 / 83784.28 − 1 = -0.86%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.86% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology