Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,784 at 7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,060 at 8 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 83059.87 / 83784.28 − 1 = -0.9%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology