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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

$SMR (per request) Still a dead chart until proven otherwise.. I'm not risking knife catching this thing. https://t.co/NNuvpukTJ3

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $SMR price at or after publication, $0.01417 at 6 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.01428 at 7 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC.
r = 0.01428185896161148 / 0.014172386915722994 − 1 = +0.8%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time