Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,610 at 6 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,392 at 7 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 83392.04 / 85610.01 − 1 = -2.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology