Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,610 at 6 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $85,540 at 7 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 85539.77 / 85610.01 − 1 = -0.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology