Prediction evidence

Quoting · 6 Oct 2026, 15:19 UTC · context given to the AI

Gromen: what if I told you, it's not about the peaks (bubbles) at all Because you know what hasn't been diminishing exponentially? The floor rate Even without the bubbles at all, $1M is projected to come around in ~Apr 2035 https://t.co/8LM7ZoV16d https://t.co/4qxaSflLlN https://t.co/EtHifBgYQI

In reply to · 6 Oct 2026, 15:08 UTC · context given to the AI

This pretty much sums up the discrepancies people see in BTC returns over the past years. They want non correlated asset that behaves like a savings technology or digital gold, But they still want 80 vol with 80 cagr. Obviously as a market grows it takes more marginal new dollars to effect the same amount of volatility to as BTC grows in market share, volatility should go down. Which is exactly what is happening. There is no other way to explain this behavior other than power law growth. Derivatives are simply the extension of a growing market. So long as derivs end up settled in the underlying, then long term adoption continues.