Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,004 at 6 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,924 at 7 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 83924.03 / 86003.58 − 1 = -2.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology