Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,740 at 5 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,497 at 6 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC.
3. r = 85496.53 / 85739.53 − 1 = -0.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology