Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,358 at 4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $83,816 at 11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 83816.37 / 85358.31 − 1 = -1.81%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.81% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology