Prediction evidence

i can tell you now from experience you are going to overtrade if you spend your time on the 15 minute chart checking price action daily separate your spot account from your perps account from your onchain degen account it is detrimental to your returns to try to catch every local top & local bottom go study past bull markets, look at how long much uptrends last, for altcoins you can be more aggressive because their trends are usually faster, 4-6 months of outperformance and then new leader usually emerges, especially if it goes 10x+ on size, but there will be rare cases this cycle where alts actually become stronger investments as they go up because their revenue will also meaningfully increase, will be important to update your thesis with the changing information, prior cycles alts topped purely on attention shifts & momentum dying out but insti capital will continue to aggressively bid these coins in certain cases where there is real data that changes the outlook last cycle bitcoin bottomed in jan 2023 & topped in october of 2025, that's ~ 33 months of uptrend, if bottom is in for this cycle which i believe it is, we just bottomed in july, its only month 4. during the longer bull market there will be mini bull markets where certain alts outperform, it is your job to identify these alts & compound your winners into long term investments good luck 🐂🀄️