Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,110 at 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,870 at 5 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 85870.28 / 85109.7 − 1 = +0.9%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology