Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,304 at 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,192 at 5 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 86191.55 / 85304.17 − 1 = +1.04%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.04% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology