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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Oct 2026, 19:54 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

$BTC Have a feeling that lows will hold. Eventually it will look like a rounded bottom. Spot OB depth delta is positive here. https://t.co/BNuM4CdSmC

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,837 at 3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,417 at 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 85417.47 / 84836.99 − 1 = +0.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time