Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Oct 2026, 16:32 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Poseidon

@CryptoPoseidonn

In reply to · 3 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · context given to the AI

@CryptoPoseidonn rather buy $ETH to $10k

@murtaza eth to $16k

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,681 at 3 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,703 at 4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 2703.2 / 2681.05 − 1 = +0.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time