Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Oct 2026, 18:06 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

Quoting · 2 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: 45% chance Bitcoin hits $100,000 this year 15% chance it happens this month https://t.co/dmQn1O5Ms6

$BTC Clean flip of the higher-timeframe trend. Everything is lining up for bullish continuation. $100K is closer than it looks. Don't ignore it. https://t.co/1pJ4LphZ0J https://t.co/d5ntjrIaFd

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,241 at 2 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,934 at 3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 84933.66 / 84240.86 − 1 = +0.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC Clean flip of the higher-timeframe trend.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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