Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Oct 2026, 17:40 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

Quoting · 2 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: 45% chance Bitcoin hits $100,000 this year 15% chance it happens this month https://t.co/dmQn1O5Ms6

The BTC/gold ratio just broke its downtrend. The rotation will be wild, get ready because $100,000 is just the conservative target. https://t.co/SyBItbrnFO https://t.co/0zAyr46ZCc

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“@BullTheoryio Time to cut rates and send Bitcoin ✌️”Repeat2 Oct 2026, 12:31 UTC
“@BitcoinMagazine Time to push towards $90k”Repeat2 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC
“@SatoshiSanto @FCATalyst Starting to, gold ETFs took a lot of the money this year, now its $BTCs turn bro”Repeat2 Oct 2026, 17:50 UTC
“@Donaxbt @FCATalyst Agreed, even 10% of golds market would put $BTC well above $126K”Repeat2 Oct 2026, 18:09 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The BTC/gold ratio just broke its downtrend.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record