Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,144 at 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $82,668 at 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 82668.39 / 85143.51 − 1 = -2.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology