Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,803 at 2 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,865 at 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 84864.78 / 86803.4 − 1 = -2.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology